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I do think that 100k is reasonable estimate. PS3 had:
- new design
- significatnly lower price
- new MSG game (104k for first day)
- 4 days of sales (as opposed to 40GB which debuted on Sunday)

@Noobie: Nothing is sure bet Famitsu tend to give numbers for "big game events" faster. I hope they will release something on Mondey or Tuesday.