I think install base will play a part. I can see NSMBW reaching out to #s of people that GT5 simply can't reach due to install base. There's no saying that GT5 won't be huge but, when being launched onto an install base of, say 24-25 mil there's not much chance for it to do GT3 or 4 #s. Whereas NSMBW "only" has to reach, say 15m Wii users and i think it will be out of GT5's reach. However, in the first 6 months it will be closer i think but i still think it will be NSMBW again because of the userbase, not in the first few weeks of sales but by legs, pulling away after 2-3 months.
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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!
