Will the Wii have 50% market share by the end of 2009?

[Millennium]

Jereel Hunter said:

Millennium said:
I don't know if it will actually hit 50%, but it will certainly climb, and if it does not hit 50% then it will be close. Whoever wins the holiday season is whoever can manufacture the most machines, and the Wii wipes the floor with the other two in that regard. Nothing else matters, because everything is going to sell out, just like it always does.

Of more interest to me is the January-March period, once the holiday excitement dies down. What will happen then?

Actually, the winner is whoever sells the most machine.

This is true, but during the holiday season they amount to the same thing. Even the unpopular consoles always sell out around the holiday season (PS3/2006 being an anomaly, but the same thing happened in the NES' first year), so whoever makes the most ends up selling the most.