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I expect about 100k week one sales for SPM, and then 80K for golden week. First day sales, on average, is about 70% of the whole week, not 50% for traditional games. Who knows, maybe the casuals/nongamers will pick this up over the weekends since it does have look like it might have wider appeal than the other Paper Marios(which were niche games).

 

Dragon Quest Swords is also in the top 10 in Amazon Japan already. That's...surprising.