Slightly off-topic: There's absolutely NO way that Nintendo isn't increasing Wii supply substantially this holiday.
Reggie has said Wii supply would be unprecedented, and at the conference where SSBB's delay was announced, they said supply would be about twice as last holiday's. Besides, their sales forecasts for the fiscal year can only be attained if supply increases substantially, and Nintendo wouldn't do such forecasts if they don't have the manufacturing capacity for them.
Hopefully, they'll double supply worldwide, my estimates are based on that and I'm going to pick up 2 Wiis soon...
On-topic:
Yes, I was also surprised by 360's apparent momentum, and I think we won't see sales going much below current levels until at least the end of the year. Holidays are around the corner, so there's just a few weeks during which 360's sales can go down now.
Sony now has a very high probability (at the very least 95% I feel) of being 3rd during the holiday season, and by a wide margin. In USA, they'll be killed by 360+Wii, in Japan and in Europe they'll be killed by the Wii (in Europe as a whole, possibly by the 360 also). It truly looks like the PS3 is between the rock called Wii and the hard place called Xbox 360.
My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957
