The Wii i'd say is a new-market disruption rather than a low-end disruption, we'll be able to confirm it once we see the effect of the PS3 and 360 price cuts, if as I expect, Wii sales remain around their current levels, it'll be clear that Wii is actually carving out a whole new market independent from the 360 and PS3, of people wh didn't feel served by the 360 and PS3
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)







