| bardicverse said: @Slimebeast - I dont see how it's impossible for the Wii to reach/surpass PS2's sales. A few key things haven't happened yet - A true Wii Zelda game to draw the rest of the hardcore Zelda purists, a price cut, and worldwide different color SKUs. In essence, Nintendo hasn't done a whole ton differently from launch yet, where both Sony and MS have made some drastic changes. I won't say it definitely will surpass PS2, but I wouldn't dare say it "seems impossible". That's just a poor statement from a person not knowing the industry nor market well. |
Sorry, 'impossible' was too strong of a word. I should have said 'seems unlikely'. Sometimes I get carried away by my emotions, but I'm very pro about analyzing sales and i know the industry like my own pockets.
Lets see here just quickly:
End of 2008 sales: 44 mill
End of 2009 sales: 65 mill
End of 2010 sales: 86 mill
End of 2011 sales: 104 mill
End of 2012 sales: 119 mill (Xbox 3 release year.. and possibly Nintendo, but lets assume Ninty next gen is 2013)
End of 2013 sales 129 mill low sales in anticipation of Nintendo next console, which releases in Nov)
End of 2014 sales: 136 mill (overlapping sales into the next gen)
End of 2015 sales: 140 mill (last sales til manufacture stop)
Ok, it is possible, but I feel the numbers above are from a best case scenario.
