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Nintendo can't lose, the Wii has gotten such a massive following that everyone knows someone who got it. And even though I personally don't care for it's games or controller I can see why someone would want to have one after trying it at a friend's house. It's a family console much like the PS2 in it's Eyetoy period and later years. We also shouldnt forget that Nintendo isn't dropping the Wii's price so people won't wait for a pricedrop but there are always those who do wait. If the Wii would ever drop in price then it would be 2008 all over again. Wii won this generation, no doubt about it. But in my book Natal/PS Wand will start a new generation, a generation that isn't marked by a new console but by new hardware and software technology. Sony and Microsoft will use their cheap HD consoles + motion controls to win the casual gamers market and since the Wii is old news at that point they might succeed. But they would butcher each other and neither would be a PS2/Wii success story. No doubt Nintendo would return a few years after that with their latest tech to pick things right up where they left.