The TEN WEEK countdown - begins now!

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TWRoO said:

...

So i would change that to this;
Week#1: 200k (week starting October 23rd)
Week#2: 300k (Galaxy in Japan)
Week#3: 250k
Week#4: 375k (Galaxy in US, 12th-19th November)
Week#5: 500k (Thanksgivin, big releases, Europe Galaxy?)
Week#6: 600k (26th Nov - 2nd Dec)
Week#7: 700k (3rd Dec - 9th Dec)
Week#8: 850k (10th Dec - 16th Dec)
Week#9: 1.1m (17th Dec - 23rd Dec)
Week#10: 800k (24th Dec - 30th Dec)

...

Looks pretty solid. I still think Thanksgiving is bigger than what you give it credit for - but like you say, it is only one territory.

Here is one interesting thing - I am listing all the "total" sales figures (per week) for the same time last year. This will give us some scaling factors that we can apply to each week. Its a little wierd though, with the Wii/PS3 releases - and stock shortages. Still - its a guide:

--- Worldwide all-format sales ---

22nd October 2006 - 470,503

29nd October 2006 - 591,000

6th November 2006 - 656,000

13th November 2006 - 943,000

19th November 2006 - 1,224,000

26th November 2006 - 1,959,000

3rd December 2006 - 2,153,000

10th December 2006 - 2,824,000

17th December 2006 - 3,019,000

24th December 2006 - 3,550,000

31th December 2006 - 1,451,000

...

Normalised all against the first weeks sales:

22nd October 2006 - 1.00

29nd October 2006 - 1.25

6th November 2006 - 1.39

13th November 2006 - 2.01

19th November 2006 - 2.60

26th November 2006 - 4.16

3rd December 2006 - 4.58

10th December 2006 - 6.01

17th December 2006 - 6.43

24th December 2006 - 7.55

31th December 2006 - 3.09