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I expect forza 3's first five weeks to be soemthing like this without bundles...

 

week 1-400k

week 2-200k

week 3-150k

week 4-150k

week 5-100k

so in the first five weeks it should sell a million without bundles

edit: this is only retail sales, vgchartz doesnt include downloads so i wont coun them...