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They're dreaming if they think the increase will only be 40 %.

In Japan, Sony was selling 10k-12k consoles a week before the slim. They just shipped 200k consoles for the first week. They won't sell all of them but you get the idea.

The increase will exceed 100%, It could be 900 % the first week in Japan if it sells 100k consoles there.

In the US, numbers should be closer to 100 % increase, probably a lot more the first week.