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I'm going to say 3 weeks.

Guaranteed 1 week, if PS3 slim does not outsell Wii on it's launch week, Sony is in deep.

I predict at least 300k first week.

Second week will see nearly identical Wii, PS3 sales.

Third week will see it drop 50k below Wii.

within the next month it will plateau at 130-140k a week, before holidays, impressive over it's current sub 100k weeks.

I think it could have stabilized higher if MS didn't counter price cut, as that will eat into potential slim buyers.

I think people are overestimating the popularity of the PS3's, it's not like everybody on Earth wants one but can't afford it, which is what the fanboys are arguing.