Is the Wii bubble about to burst?

[Dodece]

To answer the question the reason the Wii results in Japan could be indicative is, because the market in Japan, and the global market spent much of the first year behaving exactly the same. While that has never been the case with the 360. Where Microsoft has done well in North America, and Europe. While In Japan it has done rather poorly from the start. Obviously the 360 is not going to drop down to two thousands a week in other markets to match Japan.

We have a situation of three regions having the same trends up to a certain point, and then one region has had a rather dramatic change. Asking the question what has changed, or what could this mean is thus very relevant. I sense an analogy is in order to demonstrate my point.

Lets say you buy ten cars that are exactly the same, and they all run wonderfully. Then one day inexplicably three of your cars start to have issues. They guzzle gasoline, and they make a lot of noise, and sometimes the electronics go nutty. Would you just assume that these cars are special, or would you consider that whats happening to these cars might soon start happening to the other cars you bought. Remember they were all the same up until very recently.

Now lets say you bought ten cars seven of which are apparently the same. While the remaining three are radically different, and have always behaved poorly since they day you bought them. Do you assume that these three horrible cars can tell you something about your other cars, or do you think they can pass on their queer characteristics to your other cars. Chances are you wouldn't you would assume you got three lemons, and be thankful if you can actually get them to work from day to day.

That should clarify the Xbox 360 sales in Japan are actually a anomaly for the brand. While the sales of the Wii in Japan were comparable to the world wide sales. By default this makes using the Wii sales in Japan very applicable while the 360 sales in Japan are not very applicable at all. Due to the fact that they were never similar to begin with.