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I don't think it is game, set, and match as suggested. We have just experienced another change of momentum this generation in the race for second place. I find it hard to believe that Nintendo cuts the price of the Wii in the next 18 months. I really don't think MS's next move is a price cut, except for the rumored Elite at $299 and the discontinuing of the Pro. I think both MS and Sony will stand pat after the Elite cut through the end of next year. Also, I believe Sony will consistently outsell the 360 during this period. I think MS's next move is a .5 release of the 360 with Motion. I think they will release Natal with a slightly improved 360 (double memory, improved GPU and CPU). This will allow MS to claim a victory of sorts for this generation and also be the first entrant for the next generation.

I think that both MS and Sony have the luxury of releasing .5 consoles next generation, with the Wii facing the task of dragging it's massive install base into the HD generation.



Thanks for the input, Jeff.