I'm picking 237,518.
Tho' as a measure of success I'd say anything less than 200K will be a major disappointment for Sony and rather a bad sign that the PS3 is unlikely to improve its position. Anywhere between 200 & 300K is PS3 meeting expectations and it will start catching up to 360. >300k and I think it has a good chance of eating significantly into the Wii gap long term. Edit: by these numbers I mean the combined total of the launch weeks for each region, e.g. if Slim launches 1 week later in Others than in Americas/Japan then.
I think Phat PS3 sales are going to jump in markets where the slim price is being put onto the Phat (which doesn't seem to be happening here). So Phat could even nudge the 200K mark if there really is a large wave of people just waiting for the PS3 to hit that $299 mark.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
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