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Well yeah just because one thing happens (Mario Kart Wii > Mario Kart DS) doesn't mean another thing will happen, I just think that it'll turn out that way.

Basically I see the 4 player mode being the big selling point of this Mario title which is why I expect big numbers, for the record I think it'll have a launch of 2.2 Million with lifetime sales at about 22 Million or so.