Can PS3 take the Japanese holiday season?

[Mr Khan]

Erik Aston said:

routsounmanman said:
It will be a close battle, IMO. Super Mario Bros Wii could go the way of Animal Crossing Wii. Bundling and releasing new colours could help the Wii.

The problem with Animal Crossing Wii is that it didn't have new content, at least in a way that customers considered new content. It was based around the new online features with voice chat and the "city." Nobody rebuys a game that looks the same in content just for new features.

NSMBW looks like new content. New levels, new powerups, Koopa Kids instead of Jr.

It still looks like a rehash visually, and it has to overcome a higher price point, so I don't see it doing 5m+, but in the long term it should beat FF13 sales by a wide margin.

If we're talking Japan-only here, i think the install base disparity alone could keep FFXIII from outselling NSMBWii, unless the latter fizzles badly.