Is the Wii bubble about to burst?

[Dodece]

I think there is a Wii bubble merely, because the systems sales exist outside of market forces. The only region where the system actually seems to respond to market forces is Japan. So I actually think the bubble burst there. See this is the twisted logic at play in this thread. You cannot excuse the sales in Japan. While not explaining why the same is not happening in other territories. No region has a particularly healthy library, or a number of powerful releases. However in Japan that can drive sales down, but in North America they remain the same.

The system is not affected by market conditions. Game launches seem to have no significance. A lack of titles the same. A competitor got perhaps the most successful game of the year. The sales they did not even blink. Price changes on the other consoles no change. Nothing changes the sales of the Wii outside of Japan. To me that means the system is selling off of original demand rather then new demand or momentary demand. The demand is a carry over from last year rather then something done this year. However one thinks that eventually that initial demand will be satisfied.

Once that happens in your region the bubble has broke that simple. Does that mean the sales will instantly go shitty. Who knows one way or the other, but by that point the system should be part of the current market rather then one nine months old. The Wii seems to be trading on the current market in Japan now. While not excessively dominant it stills looks to be doing pretty well for itself.

We might actually have a good measuring stick in Japan. To Judge how the Wii will do once it has satisfied that original demand, but sadly the fanatics are just looking to shout down anything that might be remotely negative.