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Okay well first lets look at the current situation. Anyone who thinks the so-called "bubble" will burst in the next few months is absolutely insane. With first party games such as Super Mario Galaxy, Super Smash Bros. Brawl, and Mario Kart Wii, there are 3 guaranteed hits that will seriously push the console forward.

In the end of the year though, if third party games that were supposed to be big killer apps fail, I could see third party's abandoning the Wii. Of course thats saying that every game fails miserably/ has mediocre sale. I really don't see that happening right now. Games keep coming on the Wii every day, and unless Sony/Microsoft pulls out a serious reason to stop putting games on the Wii (I.E. Money), then in one year the Wii will be too far ahead for it to matter.