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It's hard to predict future MH3 sales.

It's even harder to tell whether it will reach 1m or not. I compared it with Dissidia, and Dissidia had worse first week, but better second one, and very strong third one (~100,000 IIRC). And it has yet to reach 1m in Japan.

Next week will be crucial for MH3 sales - If they only drop a little, I expect the game to reach 1m. But if Monster Hunter 3 suffers a huge drop, it will be hard.