My 2 cents :P
First while I believe Sony and MS offerings will be good being better at an end of a spectrum doesn't make it better. The effective difference between being blinded by darkness and being blinded by light is essentially the same. You fall over your coffee table because you can't see your jerky friend rearranged your furniture. Natal will do great as an enhancement to the XBox family, but in no means will the controls be a competitor for the Wii. This is probably the best Me Too MS has done since they entered the arena. Sony while having great tracking seems to be reliant on camera and input points for it's motion. This certainly offers great positional tracking. To the field of the camera, who won't play in the field of the camera. I'm also pretty sure it will offer buttons too. Sony offering is certainly a direct entry into the Wiiremote input field.
Will Nintendo move on? yes extend the field, offer better input. Oh yeah they will. What will they come up with next? no idea. One thought is that instead of a "vitaly sensor" on the finger. How about putting a back sensor where the battery plate is. So nothing goes on the finger. This sensing could be be good for ahead of time reactions. I don't think it will predetermine your input direction, but i'm sure something could be figure out. There is more out there. It's all about thinking outside the box. That is a skill that culture and schools like to beat out of people.
Will Nintendo stop innovating because the innovator changes. Nintendo, Sega, Sony? well the point is valid. Most of the time a company innovates because they have an idea and a direction that they(the creator) want to see. The company BOOMS into existence makes TONS of profit. Sets new standards. 10/X years later the company starts to fall into the same rut as the other companies. Why? why did their new creation and direction fail? because the boom causes other people to enter into competition. What the company never realized is it wasn't JUST the idea and direction. It was a NEW DIRECTION AND IDEA with NO COMPETITION. This business philosophy is at the core of Blue Ocean Strategy and Innovators Dilemma/Solution. So right now at this time Nintendo is being lucky they are using the philosophy that the only succesful strategy is the strategy of change.
DS was a success of the breakaway mentality and the Wii was a success of the breakaway mentaility. By all means Nintendo is going to trip, stumble and injure themselves on the new directions, but if they maintain looking at new directions they will find far more massive successes than they will hurt themselves in the long run. Only when Nintendo forgets to change their strategy will other companies pass like the N64/NGC days.
Squilliam: On Vgcharts its a commonly accepted practice to twist the bounds of plausibility in order to support your argument or agenda so I think its pretty cool that this gives me the precedent to say whatever I damn well please.







