Whoa! That's a lot, but some of it seems a bit strange.
Mario Kart Wii - 4-6m.
It has already sold 4M. There are 17 weeks left of the year, and it is currently selling 100K/week. Even without a christmas boost, it can't go below 5M. With christmas, I don't see how it can fail to sell 7M.
Wii Fit - 9-13M
It has already sold 7.7M, and is selling 150K/week. There's quite simply no chance of it failing to sell 11M, is there?
Pokemon Platinum - 4m
It has already sold 3.4M, and it is selling at a fair pace. I don't see how it can fail to sell 5M personally.
EA Sports Active - 2.5M
It's at 1.6M, is launching in Japan, and sold 70K last week. I cannot see it failing 3M, and 4M seems much more likely.
All in all, it seems as if you think christmas is hardly going to give a boost at all, or am I misunderstanding you?
Edit:
You also have both Mario Kart DS and New Super Mario Bros selling a mere 500K more for the year, don't you think that is underestimating them? I mean, that would make them sell less during the christmas quarter than in any of the other quarters.
Edit 2:
You're including Spirit Tracks, yet I can find no proof of it being confirmed for 2009, did I miss something?
