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The bottom part is probably the most interesting.

Dragon Quest is at 3.4M, and sold 175K last week. Around 4-4.2M by the end of the year seems likely.

I over-estimated CoD Ps3. The series isn't that large on the platform, and ~ 3M seems more likely. It doesn't have a shot at the top 10 really.

EA Sports Active is at 1.6M, and looks to be stablising at around 70K for Americas + Others. However, it has yet to launch in Japan (it does so this week). I'm not sure about its sales there, but ~ 400K seems like a fair guess. Anyway, I'd say it looks like it will sell ~ 2/3 of MKWii, which will put it at 2.5-3M. I expect it to slightly outedge Dragon Quest IX, with a range of anywhere between 4 and 5M.

MKDS and NSMB are up 14% from last year, and they ended at 4.4M then. 4-5M might be lowballing it a bit, 4.3-5M seems more likely.