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so what I agree :

Xbox360 arcade is just the only reason the 360 is able to selll so well versus the PS3 during Xmas : cheaper entry price is a key factor.
Xbox360 sales will still be very good this Xmas du to the Arcade sku

what I dont agree (bubble bursting ON)

Who said Arcade will have a price drop this Xmas ?
Who said HDD will have a price drop this Xmas ?
Since recession is killing USA, one could expect PAL to dominate NA this Xmas
Xbox360 is already the core gamers console BUT always keep in mind, these core gamers LOVE to buy multiple console during the same generation : all 360 fanboys ==> upgrade PS3 !!!
price cut effect are generally enought powerfull to drive the sales during 1 full years (see the year to year comparaison between 2008 and 2009 : thx the 2 xbox360 price cut in PAL, and the one in NA/Japan)
Wii price cut anyone (= Arcade 360 R.I.P) ?

well, the 1 september is gonna be funny on VGChartz

Time to Work !