Nights: Flop Sega has gotten a very bad reputation in recent years for putting out crappy games with their mascots in them. Only a small cadre of people know who NiGHTS is, and not many else will care.
No More Heroes: In between The game looks like a PS2 game, but it will have some style. If it's got good combat mechanics it will do well, but it doesn't look like it's shaping up to be a major killer app.
Zack And Wiki: Not This game will do well I think. It's got a really good buzz around it, highly stylish, from a well respected developer, will appeal to kids and game savvy adults alike. High christmas sales due to it's cartoonish kid friendly appearance.
RE:UC Not Resident Evil Franchise seems to be doing well on the wii, Capcom seems to have put alot of effort into it so that's it's not just another light gun style game, but rather one with some depth and replayability, plus co-op. Nintendo will be pushing it's zapper at an extremely cheap price point (20 dollars with game included) and as a side point games that tout it's use will probably do well over the holidays.
Soul Calibur Legends: Flop Nobody seems to have mentioned this one, but I don't think it's going to do well. IGN who seem to have an almost final build seem to be of the opinion that it's a semi-well done hack and slash with Soul Calibur characters. But with little press, and nothing spectacularly new or interesting about the title I'm not so sure it will do well. Plus it's going to be up against a billion other games, and will probably be forgotten when the smoke clears.
Guitar Hero III: Flop I'm going out on a limb here seeing as how alot of people are expecting good numbers from it on wii, but I'm just not seeing it. The 360 version is being touted as the definitive version, and lack of downloadable content is going to hurt it. The only people that will get it are people that only own a wii, that are hardcore enough to buy it. It appeals to semi casual and casual audience, not a casual one. The soccer mom waiting for wii fit isn't going to care about guitar hero 3. If anyone ones a wii and a 360 or PS3, they will get it on the other system most likely.
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