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is this really that unexpected. last year this time nintendo couldn't even keep wii's on the shelf they sold out so fast.

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&weeks=156&weekly=1

see that spike in the middle where nintendo sold more in the middle of the off-season then ps3/360 did in their holiday peaks? yeah, nintendo sales are down but they are down to the typical seasonal dependence that the ps3/360 has been on for a long time already.