The PS3 will have a 7-10year life. Why?
To make a PS3 with 6x faster processor in 6 years... will cost them the same the PS3 at launch. I dont think sony will launch with another 600$ machine.
So it would be 3-4x faster... if it comes out in 6 years. Then your paying 300$ for a console that can do games that look 25% better. I would not pay that. I would not BUY that.
Ok, so in 8-10 years, sony might release a new console. The PS3/360 are so fast, so high tech. To follow the 8x+ speed diffrence from each generation to the next... the PS4 will cost around 800-1200$. I dont think sony will do that.
So wait 2-4 years beyond the 6 year point. Your looking at 400$ and 200$ for the console. As likely the PS4 will have 4-8 cell processors. (since they are such great communial processors they scale great. Likely they will use them on the PS4, so that way if you made a game for the PS3... you could port your engine to the PS4 for next to free, and actually still be optimized. The graphics chips being produced today scale as well. Do they have 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, 1028, 2056 shader pipelines? You tell your game how many your useing, and then you tweak the number of shaders your program runs. Basically once agian, you can have 4-8x more power, and very easily use it beyond what is there.
I expect the PS3 because of those reasons to stick around for at least 8 years.
Nintendo could release a console with 2x the power of the Wii in 6 months, and sell it for 200$ at a profit.
PSN ID: Kwaad
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