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samus aran rules said:
Stats87 said:

 


I agree somewhat with what you´re saying, however I could see New Super Mario Bros Wii being something of a systemseller if there are people playing it on DS buying a Wii (I think there are some DS players that do not own a Wii) also it´s not certain that FFXIII or GT5 will release this year. I think the biggest chance for Sony  matching Wiisales  thisyear in Japan would be if the slimversion is released and is a huge hit, but I think that they would need a big softwarerelease to go along with that, otherwise I think the slimversion will only cause a temporarily bump.

 

From everything I can tell, FFXIII should drop this year in Japan, although GT5 isn't for certain. (which is why put maybe in my first post) If GT5 doesn't release, then most of what I said goes out the window, as that would definitely guarantee the Wii takes the cake.

As for NSMB, I do see it kind of as a wildcard, in these sense that it's a little harder in telling exactly how many systems will it push. You would have to think most self-respecitng Mario fans would have a Wii by now with the release of Galaxy, Smash Bros, Olympics and Kart. This of course leaves the 2D-Platformer market that don't already have a Wii and I'm not exactly sure how many of those there are. (could be a few hundred - thousand, could be a couple million) But is always interesting to see how games make the jump from handheld to the console. NSMB and MH3 will provide two that are pretty interesting.

As for a PS3 slim, that would depend on when it is released and at what price. If it releases in the Fall and is $100 cheaper, I see a big boost. If it releases near the end of 2009 with a negligible price-cut, the effect wouldn't really last.