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Squilliam said:
Halo Reach is going to release on a 45M+ userbase, so it has every chance to reach 10M if its good. Remember Halo has barely been bundled, and bundles are always on the cards with a game like this, Halo 3's 10M is almost pure sales.

Unless Reach is an FPS and billed as closely related to the original trilogy, then I can't see 10mil - not even on a 100mil strong install base.