Some stats from the VGC comparison charts:
PS2 has had a total of 13 weeks with more than 1 million sales worldwide;
0 in its 1st christmas
2 in the second
5 in the third
4 in the fourth
0 in the fifth
2 in the sixth
0 in the seventh.............Not a contender for this year then.
GBA has had 5 weeks with worldwide sales above 1 million;
1 in the first
2 in the second
1 in the third
1 in the fourth
0 in the rest.
DS has so far had 5 weeks of 1 million +
0 in it's first
2 in the second
3 in the third
........contender for a possible 4 weeks this year, if not then a definate 3.
For GC and X-box i dont think the charts have "others" data for but the best weeks they managed without it were the x-box launch with 625k (also at christmas time by the looks of it) and 622k the GC third christmas, however looking at the hardware shipments page it is doubtful PAL sales were ever more than 200k at any christmas for a single week....so 800k max.
i really dont see how the 360 has more than a tiny chance at managing this Dodece, i would be suprised if it managed more than 900k, and i think 700k is more probable. when is black Friday btw?
PSP has a better chance, but i still think it might only be managed by DS and Wii.
Also i don't understand the differences in your PS3/360 guesses, from January through September the 360 has sold 3.66 million compared to the PS3 at 3.65, they are extremely close....ok the 360 has a better christmas line-up but that can't equate to "snowballs chance in hell" against "decent chance"
Over November and December i think the 360 and PS3 will have very similar number sold though maybe 360 will have a higher best week, but slightly less on other weeks to compensate.
edit, also looking at PSPs best week (800k) that was inthe week ending the 25th december, which happens to include all the most frantic shopping days,
So that year, the PSP managed 3.5 million over November and December, and 800k best week,....yet you expect the 360 to top 1 million in a week, despite the fact that the weeks are not so well aligned (christmas eve is a Monday so wont count in Eu/Jp sales for the previous week, and the Sunday wont count for America;360s best area) and also i doubt the 360 will manage 3.5 million over the two months.
