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thismeintiel on 13 July 2009
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Bitmap Frogs said:
thismeintiel said:
Bitmap Frogs said:
Yeah, the whole "OMGZ THERES ONE HUNDRED MILLION PS2 OWNERS WAITING TO UPGRADE" was sort-of ok in 2007, laughable in 2008 and straight joke-account status in 2009.

Current gen has sold over 100 million consoles already. But reality will never sink in for some people.


Last time I checked there were more than 100 million in the entire world.  Hell that's less than in most countries.  To act like no one else will buy a console, or those that will buy one in the future will just stick with the trends is just insane.  And as many posts I have read about how someone will get a PS3 when a certain game comes out or when the price drops, change is definitely possible.  Now I'm not saying all will keep their word, but I am sure a lot will.  And considering I'm one of those who waited till 2008 to get a PS3, and do not own a 360, I can see first hand there are those like that. 

Saying that I do believe that Wii will stay in first.  They have way too many casual gamers to lose that.  But the fight for second is not over.  I personally see it being quite close near the end.  We still have 2-3 years to go in this gen, guys.  To call it now would just be arrogant, since a lot can change in 3 years.

 

But last gen sold how many, 170-190 million consoles? 

Are you implying this gen will sell six billion consoles? Get real. This gen is half over or on the verge of hitting it's half.

In your own words, there's two to three years to go. In order for the ps3 to close the gap it needs to outsell the 360 by as much as 250k-375k / month. And that's just to get on even ground. Every week that goes by where the 360 outsells the ps3 increases that figure. To give you an idea of what it means, the Wii (you know, the generation winner) is outselling the 360 by around 400k monthly. 

Right now for the ps3 to close the gap and tie with the 360 it needs to be as succesful as the Wii NOW. If the situation doesn't change for the following 3-4 months, the ps3 would need to become even more succesful than the Wii just to tie it with the 360.

Of course consoles will never sell to everyone on earth.  That's too rediculous to even think about.  My point is there are a lot more possible buyers out there.  And do you actually think that this gen consoles will only reach what last gen's sold.  That's even more rediculous.  Gaming is growing.  Partly because of all the casual gamers starting to join in the fray.  Though, I'm not just going to give credit to the Wii for this, but it does deserve most.  But not only that, the population has grown since last gen as well, which means even more prospective buyers.  Not implying they all will get a video game system, but still. 

And everyone keeps bringing these numbers up like everything will stay the same.  The numbers you give, the 360 would have to continue to sell the same amount as it is now, until the end of the consoles lifetime.  I don't see that happening.  It will rise and it will fall, as they always do.  Now given that PS3 still has a few price drops to go, I think things can change.  You know the way things do.  Just like everyone thought Wii was going to be last because of the 2 previous gens.  However, it's on top.  Things change.  All the time. 

Now to all those who are like, "Well, MS will just drop their price, too."  I don't think so.  They already have it at $200, and it's already stripped down to nothing.  What else will they take out to drop it down to $100?  The price of a PS2.  The price the PS2 just dropped after its 9th year out.  Sorry but I think 360 is down with price cuts till at least a year or 2.