GH3 will outsell RB on sheer availability alone. First and foremost it has a head start with a huge installed base with the first two games. Millions of people don't need a guitar to play. And the title is shipping a month earlier.
RB is coming out in a large, bundled version for the same reason Sony priced the PS3 so high at launch -- they're going to sell ever last copy they can make! Who cares if you won't buy it? Someone else will. And demand will probably be high enough to ensure that it'll be one of the harder to find holiday gifts this year.
(For the record, I own GH1 and the 80's expansion for the PS2, but not GH2. I have no plans to buy GH3 or RB this holiday season.)
Numbers are like people. Torture them enough and you can get them to say anything you want.
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