HappySqurriel said:
Personally, I think you're being far too optimistic on sales of the PS3 and far too pesimistic on the sales of the Wii; in fact I can't recall a single system seeing their sales reduced to 2/3 of their first year sale in their second year, and then again being reduced to 1/2 of those sales in the third year. Typically sales follow a pattern in that they are similar to the previous year (possibly as low as 80%) or better than the previous year. Using 16 Million as the estimate for 2007, the lowest I would expect the Wii to be at the end of 2008 would be 28 Million, followed by 37 Million at the end of 2009; a more reasonable estimate would probably be in the 40 Million to 50 Million range. |
and 360 is only getting 4mil next year and 2mil the year after that? FAT CHANCE it's getting GTAIV...