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WereKitten said:

One comment about the "software support" argument that I see around when it comes to new games pushing hardware.
The proponents of such argument maybe are giving too much weight to a mechanism that worked well in the past with a very different audience from the extended Wii one. The extended audience does not generally dwell in internet forums, nor does it know about incoming titles or about motion control hardware improvements. I think that only niches of this new market will react to the new software/WM+ offering (golf lovers, for example)

When it comes to software, who exactly in the extended market that hasn't bought a Wii for WiiSport and WiiFit - that offered new experiences in front of their TV - will buy one for WSR? Or who hasn't bought one for SMG will buy one for NSMB?

It's a market that has been easily satisfied early on and can live forever on evergreen titles. The counter point to a market that has a low barrier of entrance, and is thus quick to adopt, is that it will likely be slower to expand even more when the offer of content increases, because it has less unfulfilled needs.
Or at least, this is what sounds sensible to my intuition, does this make sense to anyone who knows something about business?

Few flaws, first NSMB is not SMG, totally different games, and NSMB has a much wider audience to appeal to, side scrolling Mario is more accessible and popular than 3D mario, similarly, WSR and Wii Fit plus will also have greater appeal over their predecessors, due to the wider range of activities.  In addition MH3, at least in Japan, will have an appeal to gamers who many not have seen the appeal from Wii Sports or Wii Fit, but are looking for games like MH, similarly Red Steel 2 will have a similar appeal to many who aren't really into Wii Sports but who will love the idea of a sword fighting game.



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)