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Smash Bros, Mario Kart and Wii Fit were released last year and the effect this three games had made that level of sales possible. This year the key games are arriving a bit later, so the sales will pick up during the 2nd half of the year. During this holidays, the supply of Wiis is going to be much bigger now that Nintendo can actually save an inventary, so I expect holiday sales, maybe even combined with new colors, bundles and a price drop to help Wii sales get closer or even match the 2008 numbers.