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Squilliam on 09 July 2009
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ElRhodeo said:

@ Squilliam

Point given. Thanks for the numbers, I wouldn't even know where to find those on VGChartz.
Actually I never thought that the Wii could be 'unvulnerable' - after all, expecially the 360 was a very healthy platform already when Wii started. So there was always going to be competition. I just disagree with your interpretations: IMO, the Wii drop is due to a very long first party software draught (after Mario Kart, I didn't buy another Wii game for more than a year). Even if the nongamer/new gamer market would be smaller than expected (as you assume), that would not be a reason why Wii shouldn't be able to outsell PS2 - it's not like the Wii is selling to nongamers only.

Not saying the Wii is going to outsell PS2; We'll have to wait and see how Nintendo's new first party games will do. 

No problems.

The point of this thread is to try to understand how the Wii is going to perform, since the sales are actually down it gives us something interesting to talk about. Its all wild speculation, but its refreshing to be able to include the Wii in a sales conversation that isn't about how many consoles have sold this generation overall or something boring like that.

What im really concerned about is whether or not Nintendo will be able to replicate the success of the big two: Wii Fit and Mario Kart. They are both stratospheric hits, but they both have limits.

The difference im thinking about between non gamers and gamers is that your non gamers have nothing holding them back from just picking up another console. Whereas your gamer market is more dicerning (spelling!) and they already have a games machine. So your offering has to be better than what they already have to get them to make the significant investment to upgrade. People still play their PS2s and even Xbox 1's today, however your typical Wii blue ocean customer doesn't have any prior investment and can litterally jump right in.

The other difference I was thinking about was that whilst the Wii is successfully pulling PS2 owners in, I was wondering what percentages etc of new gamers to PS2 to GC gamers exist on the Wii. Does the fact that a certain type of third party support is lacking on the Wii effect things here? Probably, but its hard to know the extent especially if the Wii sells out every week anyway.

 



Tease.