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I'm thinking about 2million by the end of the holidays, this game could just go on as the best fps on wii till the next nintendo console comes out just like goldeneye on the n64 then every fps fan on wii is bound to play or hear of it and after that I'd bet about 85% of those people will buy it and 65-75% of them will buy it new, 007 on the n64 sold about 8million and only about 32million n64's were owned but on the other hand the ps3/360 probably do have much better fps games then the conduit and the original ps1/sega saturn didn't have any fps even close to being on the same level as 007 for years untill medal of honor came out and I'd say even then 007 was better with the 4players free for all mode.......... nobody can really have the most accurate honest prediction because this is the first real hardcore fan fps game on wii and it is beyond cod5 WAY beyound cod5 and last I checked that sold 1.9million and it's a ps2port only 8players NO VOICE chat although it came out after the wii speak did + the controls suck and the ps3/360 versions were so much better I wish I never would have bought cod5 cause when I played it on 360 days after I bought it on wii I felt so ripped of and so pist because cod5 is like a 9.3 out of 10 game on 360 and on wii its like a 7.0 game on wii and to me so far I'd give the conduit a 8.5 out of 10 cause it is great but it could of been so much better..........