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20 million seller - highly likely.

Wii Fit - Not a chance (Wii Fit is going to sail past 30 million, and possibly exceed 40 million)

Mario Kart - Possibly.... but I see this coming close to 30 million, which I don't think WSR will unless it replaces the Wii Sports bundle (at which point it would be disqualified from it's own competition)

Wii Play which you seem to have missed - Also no... as it will be another 30 million seller.