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DigitalHero said:

There are a couple very simple things going against the PS3 reclaiming #1.

 1.  No console in a given generation that was the most expensive never took the first spot against cheaper competitiors.  Look at Saturn, 3DO, Turbo Grafx 16, and Neo Geo for great examples.

 2.  This one is kind of superstitious but no console in the past 20 years has ever dominated for more than two generations straight. 

Add to the fact that Wii is outselling it by a large margin and Microsoft is formidable competitor makes a Sony "comeback" extrememly hard but not impossible.  I believe Nintendo will be the #1 for this gen. (Just look at vg charts on how fast they are catching up and either PS3 or 360 will be at #2.   Its harder to determine that one.)

 


Well to you 1st point Saturn never realy had a chance the end of the Genesis was so ugly that sega was widely hated... see 32X Sega CD rip off(PS2 still going strong) All of the others were 1st and last attempt consoles and last attempt too..no exclusive games with no first party games or any fanbase...

As for your second point you mention in the Past 20 years no console has dominated for more than 2 generations straight..You forget to mention that the ONLY system to dominate in 2 straight generations is Sony PS1-PS2 so they have proved something that no console has ever done already (most PS2 owners have not yet jumped to "next gen" but i am possitive that most Gamecube and Xbox owners have converted to Next gen)

I do agree the wii is selling now alot off of the very affordable price and the Mass appeal it has. I do not know if it will be passed by PS3 or not ,but unlike any generation of consoles before there is a clear difference in the PS3/360 compared to the Wii...I really do not think Sony and Microsoft are in direct competition as they are not after the same market The Wii is more of a replacement of the famliy board game concept then a next gen system. Nintendo wants every one to feel comfortable withe the game unit. PS3 and 360 are the next generation Video game consoles for the single player/online multi-player single teen -adult gamer. Lastly the one thing Sony has coming is Games....that will help ,but when the 1st party Sequels start dropping then thats when the real PS3 surge will come ...   ie. the  next Socom, Grand Turismo 4,Rachet&Clank, God of WarIII. Those games coupled with MGS4 those are alot of the titles that will convert many PS2 owners to PS3(and price cuts due to falling costs from bluraydiode and IBM components).