The Conduit will break 350k after 5 weeks

[WereKitten]

Chrizum said:

If the preliminary data is correct, The Conduit has sold about 100k in its first week - America only. Looking at past trends (mainly World at War), Europe will probably see around 30k for its first week. That puts The Conduit at 130k first week worldwide.

Now, the usual sales pattern for a Wii game with "ok" legs is this:

1st week 130k
2nd week  90k
3rd week  60k
4th week  40k
5th week  30k

That puts it at 350k after 5 full weeks. This is just a prediction of course, but I really think it isn't that much of a stretch. 350k after 5 weeks means Sega at least ships over 400k units within a month at full price. This can only mean profits profits profits.

The Conduit is going to be a succes.

That's highly optimistic, as it is only 10% less than CoD:WaW. Except that it's a new IP vs the most known franchise of FPSs. Thus, even if it had similar sales first week or two (knowledgeable buyers, internet hype) it can be expected to drop more quickly in the following weeks, to pick up sales with long term legs as the more general public learns to know it.