First of piningforthefjords I am absolutely in love with your username and I kinda wish I thought of it first.
Secondly...
The prices of the original PS1's and PS2's at launch were US$299. The PSone (slim) had a launch price of US$99 and the PS2 slimline had a launch price of US$149 (?). If you work out the depreciation over the years you should be able to accurately work out the drop in price for the technology.
The original PS1 and PSone (slim) were launched 6 years apart (94/95 vs 2000)
The original PS2 and PS2 slimline were launched 5 years apart (99/00 vs 2004)
Therefore the depreciation each year is...
PS1 = $149/$299 = ~50%/6 = 8.30% depreciation per annum
PS2 = $99/$299 = ~33%/5 = 6.6% depreciation per annum
I'm going to make a very big assumption and take an average from these two figures and say it will have a depreciation of 7.5% per annum.
The PS3 was $399 over 4 years ago, so...
$399*0.925^3 = $315.
So my hypothetical pricepoint would be $300 - $320 assuming it is released in time for the holidays this year.
Anyway, it doen't matter because Sony will stick a price on it for what the feel would be most profitable.
