By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Pineapple on 28 June 2009
Edit Thread
ZenfoldorVGI said:
Pineapple said:

I'm just going to admit that I'm no longer paying enough attention to this to make a sound prediction, but one thing is clear; pretty much every single prediction people have had about games, and especially "legs", this year has been overestimated.

The machines are just barely up in software sold, and as the competition among games is larger (more games that take their share of the pie), your average game sells less.

Machine - last year up to June 22nd - this year - difference.

Wii - 57M software - 61M - +4M - +7%

Ps3 - 28.2M - 29.7M - +1.5M - +5%

X360 - 34.9M - 38M - +3M - +8.5%

 

These increases are hardly anything at all.  Well, DS is up 11M (23%) to 58M, but the consoles are hardly up.

 

The "games pr console" is now finally dropping down to the 6th gen levels. For the Wii, it is looking like it, despite having a larger userbase, will sell less software in its 3rd year than the Ps2 did.

 

Well, on to the point again. Software is selling less than any analysist expected it to, and I think that we still haven't fully taken that in.

You mean exclusives? All exclusives on the PS3 will forever be overestimated. Sony fans like to "over" things. Overhype exclusives, overestimate legs, and sales in general for their exclusives.

I think if you look at multiplats, like Red Faction or Prototype, those games sold as well or better than expectated. As did Resident Evil 5, which was a huge success this year.

No, I didn't mean just with the Ps3, nor exclusives only.

Pretty much all the Wii-analysts (myself included) around here overestimated Mario Kart Wii and Wii Fit for 2009. Then there's Wii Music, Animal Crossing, and the list goes on. The expectations have, this year, greatly exceeded what they actually sold. For 2008, it was vice-versa. That definitely shows something.

And the same has been the case for the X360, althogh I don't have a ton of knowledge about its SW sales at the moment.

 

Now, of course - every game doesn't sell less than expectations, but a great majority does. Not just exclusives, and definitely not just Ps3 games - claiming that is ridiculous.