Some PS3 game sales personal expectations.

[Showertea]

bugrimmar said:
1.) i just don't see how uncharted will set the world on fire. resistance 2 got 450k, yes, but it's an FPS, and it was heavily frontloaded. i'm seeing uncharted going that route, slightly less first week, but more sales down the line. it just doesn't have the star power. don't go by uncharted 1 sales. it's the bundling and the fact that there just weren't enough exclusives to go by at that time.

2.) gran turismo 5 is going to sell more simply because it has included two entire franchises extra in the game. you do realize that NASCAR is the second most watched sport in the united states? the user base argument is nonsense. gran turismo will sell, regardless of current user base, regardless of when it releases. gt is one of those franchises, just like mario, just like halo. how many xbox consoles did the original halo require to sell the way it did?

3.) god of war 3 is going to sell quite well, and i'm banking on the ps3's lack of pirated games. you do realize that when the god of war games were released, it was the height of piracy on the system? and despite that, gow 1 still sold 3.3 million and gow 2 still sold 2.5 million (on this site anyway)? now you have a ridiculously hyped and advertised sequel on a console that doesn't have piracy. i'm expecting something large.

1: I agree. Uncharted the 1st sold well because of an otherwise barren PS3 game landscape, and the bundling (of course, Uncharted 2 will get bundling eventually as well). Uncharted lacks the things that make a runaway hit.

2: Because the NASCAR watching demographic has a 500$ PS3 and a 1000$ HD TV, or are willing to spend that much money to play one game.

 

Oh, and your argument that GT is 'one of those games' like Mario or Halo? Super Mario Galaxy sold 8 million on a userbase of 51 million, or 15.6% of the consoles. If GT5 did as well, it would sell 3.5 million on the current 22 million userbase the PS3 has. Halo 3 sold better, at 9.8 million on a 31 million userbase, giving it 31.8% of the consoles. If GT5 did that well on the current PS3 userbase, it'd sell 7.25 million. Either way, it's hardly breaking the 15 million of GT3, and it's nowhere close to being the best selling racing game of this generation.

3: You're expecting a demographic of pirates to all own PS3s, one of the hardest current gen systems to pirate on. The reason they are pirates is because they don't like spending money on games. They aren't going to switch from a 99$ console that has free (pirated) games to a 500$ console that has 60$ games.