Gran Tursimo 5 will definitely outsell Forza 3. It's just too popular worldwide. Forza may sell more in the US, but not worldwide. I'd expect the ps3 to have a pricecut before GT5 comes out too which will be a good reason for many to pick up a system.
PSN ID: Sorrow880
Gamertag: Sorrow80
Wii #: 8132 1076 3416 7450