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The thing is, when dealing with the mass market you constantly need to be doing something to engage their imagination and tantalize them into getting your product.
Wii Sports definately succeeded in doing that to fantastic success but irregardless of if someone bought a Wii for it or only wanted to, it's now old hat and forgotten.

How much of a system seller WSR will be, will be directly related to how well it captures the mass market's imagination and tantalizes them into buying a Wii. It'll all boiling down to marketing as far as system sales goes. It's a given most people who bought a Wii for Wii Sports will get the sequel. If Nintendo goes back to the malls and hands-on with the new improved controls, expect it to move a lot of systems. Especially since supply is no longer an issue.  The casual/non-gamer is still a market barely touched when compared to it's overall size.