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theprof00 said:

@c0rd

this actually took a lot of work man lol.

Similar "traditional" core games for ps3 or 360 would be games like MGS, GTA, Halo, perhaps COD or other FPSes

I understand that much, but consider the formula you used to calculate the Wii's core userbase. That's like if I averaged the top 5 PS3 games (around 4 million) and claim that's the size of their core userbase.

Anyway, there's a massive difference in third party support between the HD consoles and the Wii. Even when they receive the same games (CoD5), the Wii ends up getting the inferior version (which is usually understandable). The fact everyone is forced to hype The Conduit, a game from a no-name developer, shows what I'm talking about. Those "die-hard" Nintendo fans have bought third party games in the past, there's no reason to think they won't do the same now.

trestres seemed to correlate frontloaded sales with core games. I somewhat agree with it, but then he assumed that because no third party games were frontloaded, the core sticks to Nintendo. What I'm saying is, there are no other games that should have been frontloaded, because there's no core games on the level of Nintendo's, and even the good ones have a tiny budget / are niche with little to no advertising. Not only that, but new IP's aren't nearly as frontloaded, even on HD consoles. Tell me, which third party games on the Wii should have seen heavy frontloaded sales? Or, which would have seen more sales on the HD consoles?

I'll give you a hint, MadWorld, Zack and Wiki, Little King's Story, No More Heroes, etc. are not good candidates. Forget the Wii, we haven't seen niche Japanese games sell much at all on the PS2.

Nintendo is the only big player trying, so they're the only ones being rewarded. Things don't yet look out of place to me. If MH3 flops hard this fall, I'll admit there's an argument to be made.