I believe that the Wii will be in the lead by a good margin, with the 360 following that (at least in America), and PS3 close to but not yet reaching the 360 by the end of '09.
The numbers will look something like this:
End of 2009
Wii 55m-60m
360 32m-34m
PS3 27m-30m
Reason for this is as many of you have said, 3rd Party Support. The support for the Wii will grow and burgeon with new small developers and indie groups making small but great games. Small Dev houses can't compete on the HD consoles because of the cost of development.
The 360 is in 2nd place because it isn't as difficult to make games for as the PS3.
The PS3's Cell CPU is very difficult to program and optimize for. Also unless the PS3 comes way down in price and gets a couple of AAA great games it won't get out of 3rd place.
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