@ TWRoO
The last gen was or is around 170m. I have stated on my chart that this only goes up to the end of 2012, I have already stated that IMHO the PS3 could be around for another year or two after that deadline.
Yes, it must seem unusual that I have said that all three next gen consoles will assist in a total approx of 160m which is 10m less than last gen. And I do understand and believe that the Wii has brought more casual gamers to this generation than ever before, but I doubt this will result in any more than 10-20m and that is being ridiculously generous IMHO.
The factor that IS in this generation and not last, is the DS and PSP. Yes you will get people that buy both a handheld and home console, but the PSP in particular will push people towards the handheld market and away from the home console market. Look at the ipod and how it's probably stopped people buying a home hifi system? And the PSP now has video out which will allow handheld gamers to play on the big screen.
As I've said before, I reckon the DS and PSP will rack up between 130-160m between them over the course of their lifespan.
Also, don't forget the price of the next gen consoles as well. They are much more expensive overall compared to the last gen.
Yes, there were handhelds last gen..there was the GBA...the GBA sold very well...but it didn't sell as well as the DS has...and on top of that, we have good sales of the PSP. In the first 3 years, the GBA sold just under 50m; the DS and PSP have sold around 80m in total. Surely this will have an impact on the purchases of home consoles?
Prediction (June 12th 2017)
Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.
PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)
PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)
