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KH3 has a big chance of being released on Wii:

A company needs profit. One of the main strategies companies use to accomplish this is the spreading of risk.
In the PS2 days there was virtually no risk in developing a (qualty) game for PS2, as the install base was enormous.

Now at the start of this gen, that's different. All 3 consoles have their good and bad points and no-one can say which one will win, if one wins at all, especially with the enormous differences. Wii has much weaker hardware, but sells like crazy. 360 is doing great in the States, but nothing in Japan. PS3 had a very dissapointing start overall.

In order for SquareEnix to make the safest profit, they will divide their projects over different consoles. Since it's a Japanese company they won't be focussing on 360.

PS3 gets main Final Fantasy
DS gets main Dragon Quest
PSP gets FFVII
Wii......no main series yet

Since Wii is doing great around the world, and Kingdom Hearts is perfectly suited for the Wii ("cartoony" graphics, "kids console", Zelda lovers=likely to like KH style)
it's clear that Wii has best changes to recieve SE 3rd biggest franchise.

For the people that say that SE has a benefit from the PS3 doing good and therefore bet everything on PS3 I say:
It's better to lose something on FF and win on other systems than to lose on all your franchise. That SE thinks like this is proven by the move of its biggest Japanes franchise DQ.