Stefan.De.Machtige said:
HappySqurriel said:
Million said:
Nothing leads me to believe that it is guaranteed but alot of things lead me to believe it is probable.
(1) They are the underdogs
(2) Nintendo has a established a new market.
(3) They desire that market and will work towards obtaining it.
(4) They have resources and will make use of them to achieving (3).
The PS2's success where for different reasons the Wii , the success of the PS2 follows closely from the PS1's and the huge software support Sony was able to aqcuire in that period. The Wii lends pretty much all it's success to the innovation it's technology which enabled to attack that new demographic. People knew Playstation because it offered a unique selling point : it's libary . People know the Wii because it offers a unique selling point : it's libary based of the innovation in the Wii. People only come to know the console when it has something worth offering , not at any point before that , people will soon forget the Wii if a better alternative is released just as they did the PS2.
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I look at things a little differently ...
Throughout the entire previous generation, Sony and Microsoft were growing more and more focused on targeting the "Hardcore" demographic under the assumption that the more "Hardcore" a system becomes the more popular it will be. As a result of this, they largely ignored and took for granted the broader demographic of gamers. Nintendo’s release of the Wii was designed to target these gamers.
Nintendo's success was quick and easy because there was almost no fight for these gamers from Sony or Microsoft ... Stealing these gamers away from Nintendo is (at this point in time) about as easy as stealing the "Hardcore" gamers away from Sony and Microsoft. The gamers know the brand are happy with the brand and the company who controls their demographic is not going to give up an inch without a fight.
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I'm with Happy Squrriel's explanation. The former markerleader Sony sabotaged its own market by focussing more on a niche. And Microsoft followed them in an foolish attempt to cut them off.
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I don't think my point disagrees with yours , infact I think it strengthens my argument . The fact that Nintnedo didn't have to battle for their new found demographic means that their future hold over that demographic is surrounded in mystery , what I think will is happen is that Sony and Microsoft will revise their strategies and attack that new demographic in a way their feeble attempts (Natal and Sony motion controller) have been unable too , this gen is really to late for a drastic change , the demographics have been set in stone.
I guess it can be argued both ways , Nintendo has captured a new market and no one really knows how they are going to play it from here , they could do more of the same with the Wii 2 or they could radicaly innovate their control scheme again (a risky move but one that is guaranteed to profit huge if the market responds well ) . Regardless of what Nintendo does I don't think they'll be able to have the lead they had last time ,like you said Nintendo didn't have to fight for this new market . But now the markets been established and is experiencing expotential growth, both Microsoft and Sony are in on it now.
